10 Oct · 07:40 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
JM
🇨🇿Jiri Matus
ELO 1537
FormWLLLW
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Matus
MS
🇨🇿Martin Sobota
ELO 1400
FormWLWWW
61%
39%
🌟Matus rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (98)
Fair odds · Matus
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 65% · 1.55· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~75 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
21%
3-2
17%
2-3
15%
1-3
15%
Elo Gap+137
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+137)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)