10 Oct · 00:10 MESZLow · Coin Flip
KG
🇨🇿Karol Guzy
ELO 1598
FormLWWLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Guzy
AV
🇨🇿Anton Veliiev
ELO 1583
FormLWLWL
51%
49%
🌟Veliiev covers set handicap as underdog 76% (17)
Fair odds · Guzy
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 42% · 2.37· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+15
H2H12-22
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.