10 Oct · 08:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JR
🇨🇿Jan Ruzicka
ELO 1592
FormLLWWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Ruzicka
TP
🇨🇿Tomas Palan
ELO 1528
FormLWWWW
55%
45%
Fair odds · Ruzicka
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 34% · 2.96· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~74 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+64
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+64)