10 Oct · 12:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
EP
🇨🇿Erik Precek
ELO 1558
FormLLWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Precek
OB
🇨🇿Ondrej Bolcarovic
ELO 1514
FormLLLLW
54%
46%
Fair odds · Precek
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+44
H2H5-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.