10 Oct · 09:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TB
🇨🇿Tomas Bartik
ELO 1612
FormWLLLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Bartik
TP
🇨🇿Tomas Palan
ELO 1528
FormLWWWW
57%
43%
🌟Bartik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 32% (56)
Fair odds · Bartik
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~73 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+84
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+84)