10 Oct · 10:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VB
🇨🇿Vit Benak
ELO 1665
FormWWWLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Benak
FS
🇨🇿Filip Strejc
ELO 1562
FormLWLLL
58%
42%
🔥 Underdog lean · Strejc🌟Benak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 30% (33)
Fair odds · Benak
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~75 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+103
H2H24-17
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+103)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (24-17)