10 Oct · 13:25 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JD
🇨🇿Jaroslav Dohnal
ELO 1506
FormLWLWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Muhlhauser
ZM
🇨🇿Zdenek Muhlhauser
ELO 1508
FormWWLLW
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Muhlhauser🌟Muhlhauser rarely covers set handicap as favourite 29% (51)
Fair odds · Muhlhauser
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 41% · 2.42· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+2
H2H9-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.