10 Oct · 13:35 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MC
🇨🇿Martin Chmelicek
ELO 1409
FormLLLWL
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Flesar
MF
🇨🇿Milan Flesar
ELO 1569
FormWWWWW
37%
63%
Fair odds · Flesar
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 61% · 1.64· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~75 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
22%
2-3
17%
3-2
15%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+160
H2H33-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+160)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (33-12)