10 Oct · 08:45 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JP
🇨🇿Jan Przybyla
ELO 1455
FormLLLWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Przybyla
VR
🇨🇿Vladislav Reska
ELO 1449
FormWLLWL
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Reska🌟Przybyla rarely covers set handicap as favourite 28% (46)
Fair odds · Przybyla
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+6
H2H15-16
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.