10 Oct · 11:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DJ
🇨🇿David Jicha
ELO 1755
FormWLLWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Jicha
TV
🇨🇿Tomas Vorisek
ELO 1679
FormWLWLW
56%
44%
🌟Vorisek stays under total as underdog 63% (145)
Fair odds · Jicha
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~73 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+76
H2H153-120
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+76)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (153-120)