10 Oct · 09:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SW
🇨🇿Sylwester Wloszek
ELO 1542
FormWWLWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Wloszek
JM
🇨🇿Jan Masternak
ELO 1474
FormWLLLW
56%
44%
Fair odds · Wloszek
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 63% · 1.58· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~82 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+68
H2H69-58
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+68)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (69-58)