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10 Oct · 08:45 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
PSPatrik Sturma
🇨🇿Patrik Sturma
ELO 1436
3-2Final setsSturma won
MSMartin Sobota
🇨🇿Martin Sobota
ELO 1386
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Sturma at 53%. The actual result was Patrik Sturma 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Patrik Sturma favoured — closing 1.68
Favourite won
Total 77.5
91 points played
Over
Set handicap
Patrik Sturma −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Patrik Sturma −3.5 points
No cover
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.33
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
5.5
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Patrik Sturma is favoured to win, below means Martin Sobota.

▲ Patrik Sturmapre 50% → final 2%
Martin Sobota ▼
Biggest swing 79 ptsSobota recovered from 19%72 points · 4 games