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10 Oct · 09:35 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
BMBartlomiej Molka
🇨🇿Bartlomiej Molka
ELO 1539
2-3Final setsMasternak won
JMJan Masternak
🇨🇿Jan Masternak
ELO 1472
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Molka at 53%. The actual result was Jan Masternak 2-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Molka favoured — closing 1.7
Upset
Total 81.5
94 points played
Over
Set handicap
Molka −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Molka −1.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Bartlomiej Molka is favoured to win, below means Jan Masternak.

▲ Bartlomiej Molkapre 57% → final 11%
Jan Masternak ▼
Biggest swing 76 ptsMasternak recovered from 21%72 points · 5 games