10 Oct · 16:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AK
🇨🇿Adam Kanak
ELO 1524
FormWLLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Precek
EP
🇨🇿Erik Precek
ELO 1553
FormLWLLW
48%
52%
🌟Kanak covers set handicap as underdog 76% (70)
Fair odds · Precek
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+29
H2H1-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.