10 Oct · 14:05 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JR
🇨🇿Jan Ruzicka
ELO 1559
FormLLLWL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Ruzicka
MF
🇨🇿Milan Flesar
ELO 1557
FormLWWWW
50%
50%
Fair odds · Ruzicka
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+2
H2H9-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.