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10 Oct · 12:35 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
BMBartlomiej Molka
🇨🇿Bartlomiej Molka
ELO 1551
3-1Final setsMolka won
JCJakub Chojnacki
🇨🇿Jakub Chojnacki
ELO 1523
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Molka at 51%. The actual result was Bartlomiej Molka 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Bartlomiej Molka favoured — closing 1.55
Favourite won
Total 79.5
80 points played
Over
Set handicap
Bartlomiej Molka −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Bartlomiej Molka −3.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
3.85
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Bartlomiej Molka is favoured to win, below means Jakub Chojnacki.

▲ Bartlomiej Molkapre 47% → final 95%
Jakub Chojnacki ▼
Biggest swing 62 ptsMolka recovered from 33%72 points · 4 games