10 Oct · 16:05 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
KG
🇨🇿Karol Guzy
ELO 1606
3-1Final setsGuzy won
AD
🇨🇿Adam Duch
ELO 1671
What the model said
Before the match, the model favoured Duch at 56%. The actual result was Karol Guzy 3-1 — the underdog won.
How the markets settled
The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.
Match winner
Adam Duch favoured — closing 1.7
Total 75.5
89 points played
Set handicap
Adam Duch −1.5 sets
Points handicap
Adam Duch −2.5 points
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
Win probability
Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Karol Guzy is favoured to win, below means Adam Duch.
▲ Karol Guzypre 40% → final 88%
Adam Duch ▼
Biggest swing 64 ptsGuzy recovered from 26%72 points · 4 games