11 Oct · 08:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PP
🇨🇿Petr Pesout
ELO 1425
FormLLWWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Pesout
RH
🇨🇿Radek Hruby
ELO 1334
FormLLLLL
57%
43%
🌟Pesout goes over total as favourite 65% (37)
Fair odds · Pesout
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 64% · 1.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+91
H2H6-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+91)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-4)