11 Oct · 08:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MN
🇨🇿Michal Nemec
ELO 1320
FormLLLLW
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Zeman
RZ
🇨🇿Radek Zeman
ELO 1506
FormLLWWL
35%
65%
Fair odds · Zeman
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 69% · 1.46· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~75 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
23%
2-3
18%
3-2
14%
3-1
13%
Elo Gap+186
H2H115-77
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+186)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (115-77)