11 Oct · 09:10 MESZLow · Coin Flip
FM
🇨🇿Filip Mandrysz
ELO 1498
FormLWLLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Chvojka
PC
🇨🇿Peter Chvojka
ELO 1501
FormWLWWW
50%
50%
🌟Chvojka rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (67)
Fair odds · Chvojka
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+3
H2H2-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.