11 Oct · 12:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KZ
🇨🇿Krzysztof Zapala
ELO 1557
FormLLLLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Veliiev
AV
🇨🇿Anton Veliiev
ELO 1628
FormWWWWW
44%
56%
Fair odds · Veliiev
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 64% · 1.56· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~79 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+71
H2H9-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+71)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-8)