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11 Oct · 11:05 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
KZKrzysztof Zapala
🇨🇿Krzysztof Zapala
ELO 1547
3-2Final setsZapala won
ADAdam Duch
🇨🇿Adam Duch
ELO 1658
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Duch at 58%. The actual result was Krzysztof Zapala 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Duch favoured — closing 1.4
Upset
Total 78.5
112 points played
Over
Set handicap
Duch −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Duch −5.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
5.3
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Krzysztof Zapala is favoured to win, below means Adam Duch.

▲ Krzysztof Zapalapre 38% → final 88%
Adam Duch ▼
Biggest swing 82 ptsZapala recovered from 9%72 points · 5 games