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11 Oct · 12:40 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
JSJaroslav Sindler
🇨🇿Jaroslav Sindler
ELO 1489
1-3Final setsStefek won
DSDominik Stefek
🇨🇿Dominik Stefek
ELO 1451
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Sindler at 55%. The actual result was Dominik Stefek 1-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Jaroslav Sindler favoured — closing 1.85
Upset
Set handicap
Jaroslav Sindler −1.5 sets
No cover
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.32
Over
Exact score
market priced 1-3 at close
4.85
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jaroslav Sindler is favoured to win, below means Dominik Stefek.

▲ Jaroslav Sindlerpre 52% → final 96%
Dominik Stefek ▼
Biggest swing 46 pts71 points · 4 games