11 Oct · 16:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AD
🇨🇿Adam Duch
ELO 1658
FormWLWLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Duch
DB
🇨🇿Damian Bucko
ELO 1604
FormWLLWL
54%
46%
Fair odds · Duch
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~79 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+54
H2H68-62
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.