12 Oct · 07:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
LL
🇨🇿Laurent Lasota
ELO 1453
FormWLLLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Lorenc
ML
🇨🇿Martin Lorenc
ELO 1514
FormWWWLL
45%
55%
🌟Lasota covers set handicap as underdog 62% (69)
Fair odds · Lorenc
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+61
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+61)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)