12 Oct · 08:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
LS
🇨🇿Lukas Slavik
ELO 1574
FormWLLLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Slavik
RS
🇨🇿Radek Sedlacek
ELO 1494
FormLLWLL
57%
43%
🔥 Underdog lean · Sedlacek🌟Sedlacek covers set handicap as underdog 71% (59)
Fair odds · Slavik
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 61% · 1.64· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+80
H2H3-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+80)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-2)