12 Oct · 09:45 MESZLow · Coin Flip
LS
🇨🇿Lukas Slavik
ELO 1574
FormWLLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Slavik
DS
🇨🇿David Stusek
ELO 1557
FormLLWLL
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Stusek🌟Slavik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 36% (70)
Fair odds · Slavik
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+17
H2H1-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.