12 Oct · 08:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
DS
🇨🇿David Stusek
ELO 1557
FormLLWLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Stusek
RS
🇨🇿Radek Sedlacek
ELO 1494
FormLLWLL
55%
45%
🌟Sedlacek covers set handicap as underdog 71% (59)
Fair odds · Stusek
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+63
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+63)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)