12 Oct · 13:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PC
🇨🇿Petr Chlumsky
ELO 1454
FormLWLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Chlumsky
DS
🇨🇿David Sochor
ELO 1410
FormWLWWL
54%
46%
🌟Chlumsky goes over total as favourite 70% (40)
Fair odds · Chlumsky
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 56% · 1.80· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+44
H2H2-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.