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12 Oct · 08:40 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
ADAles Drozd
🇨🇿Ales Drozd
ELO 1464
1-3Final setsLasota won
LLLaurent Lasota
🇨🇿Laurent Lasota
ELO 1444
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Drozd at 53%. The actual result was Laurent Lasota 1-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Ales Drozd favoured — closing 1.64
Upset
Total 77.5
72 points played
Under
Set handicap
Ales Drozd −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Ales Drozd −2.5 points
Covered
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.33
Over
Exact score
market priced 1-3 at close
5.75
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Ales Drozd is favoured to win, below means Laurent Lasota.

▲ Ales Drozdpre 57% → final 98%
Laurent Lasota ▼
Biggest swing 78 ptsDrozd recovered from 20%72 points · 5 games