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12 Oct · 09:00 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
SWSylwester Wloszek
🇨🇿Sylwester Wloszek
ELO 1542
3-1Final setsWloszek won
MLMichal Lysakowski
🇨🇿Michal Lysakowski
ELO 1585
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Lysakowski at 55%. The actual result was Sylwester Wloszek 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Michal Lysakowski favoured — closing 1.7
Upset
Total 81.5
88 points played
Over
Set handicap
Michal Lysakowski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Michal Lysakowski −1.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
5.5
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Sylwester Wloszek is favoured to win, below means Michal Lysakowski.

▲ Sylwester Wloszekpre 48% → final 97%
Michal Lysakowski ▼
Biggest swing 64 ptsWloszek recovered from 33%72 points · 4 games