12 Oct · 12:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
SR
🇨🇿Szymon Radlo
ELO 1534
FormWWWLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Lysakowski
ML
🇨🇿Michal Lysakowski
ELO 1585
FormLWWLW
46%
54%
🌟Radlo goes over total as underdog 67% (12)
Fair odds · Lysakowski
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 62% · 1.62· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~81 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+51
H2H61-51
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.