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DeuceLab
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12 Oct · 13:35 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
SMSimon Matousch
🇨🇿Simon Matousch
ELO 1429
3-1Final setsMatousch won
OKOndrej Knazik
🇨🇿Ondrej Knazik
ELO 1510
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Knazik at 58%. The actual result was Simon Matousch 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Ondrej Knazik favoured — closing 1.56
Upset
Total 74.5
76 points played
Over
Set handicap
Ondrej Knazik −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Ondrej Knazik −4.5 points
No cover
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.38
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
3.94
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Simon Matousch is favoured to win, below means Ondrej Knazik.

▲ Simon Matouschpre 45% → final 99%
Ondrej Knazik ▼
Biggest swing 67 ptsMatousch recovered from 32%67 points · 3 games