13 Oct · 08:15 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DS
🇨🇿David Stusek
ELO 1560
FormWLLWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Krenek
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Krenek
ELO 1594
FormLLLWL
47%
53%
🔥 Underdog lean · Stusek🌟Krenek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 32% (136)
Fair odds · Krenek
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+34
H2H2-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.