13 Oct · 07:40 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JS
🇨🇿Jaroslav Sindler
ELO 1498
FormLWWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Sindler
LJ
🇨🇿Lukas Krupnik Jr
ELO 1487
FormWWWWL
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Jr🌟Jr covers set handicap as underdog 66% (122)
Fair odds · Sindler
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+11
H2H26-26
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.