13 Oct · 08:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AL
🇨🇿Ales Langer
ELO 1482
FormWWLWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Jr
VJ
🇨🇿Vaclav Hejda Jr
ELO 1558
FormLLWWL
44%
56%
🔥 Underdog lean · Langer🌟Jr rarely covers set handicap as favourite 38% (104)
Fair odds · Jr
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+76
H2H65-65
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+76)