12 Oct · 21:30 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MN
🇨🇿Michal Nemec
ELO 1348
3-2Final setsNemec won
JM
🇨🇿Jakub Mach
ELO 1505
What the model said
Before the match, the model favoured Mach at 65%. The actual result was Michal Nemec 3-2 — the underdog won.
How the markets settled
The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.
Match winner
Mach favoured — closing 1.4
Total 74.5
100 points played
Set handicap
Mach −1.5 sets
Points handicap
Mach −5.5 points
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.38
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
Win probability
Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Michal Nemec is favoured to win, below means Jakub Mach.
▲ Michal Nemecpre 37% → final 99%
Jakub Mach ▼
Biggest swing 70 ptsNemec recovered from 30%67 points · 4 games