13 Oct · 00:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PB
🇨🇿Pavel Benes
ELO 1723
FormWWWWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Benes
MB
🇨🇿Michal Brozek
ELO 1612
FormWWLLW
59%
41%
Fair odds · Benes
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+111
H2H37-24
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+111)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (37-24)