13 Oct · 09:40 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JS
🇨🇿Jaroslav Sindler
ELO 1498
FormLWWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Chlad
PC
🇨🇿Petr Chlad
ELO 1505
FormWWWLW
49%
51%
🔥 Underdog lean · Sindler🌟Sindler covers set handicap as underdog 72% (113)
Fair odds · Chlad
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+7
H2H8-12
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.