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13 Oct · 09:20 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
JMJiri Matus
🇨🇿Jiri Matus
ELO 1517
2-3Final setsSindler won
JSJaroslav Sindler
🇨🇿Jaroslav Sindler
ELO 1513
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Matus at 51%. The actual result was Jaroslav Sindler 2-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Jiri Matus favoured — closing 1.59
Upset
Total 77.5
106 points played
Over
Set handicap
Jiri Matus −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Jiri Matus −1.5 points
Covered
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.33
Over
Exact score
market priced 2-3 at close
5.8
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jiri Matus is favoured to win, below means Jaroslav Sindler.

▲ Jiri Matuspre 47% → final 95%
Jaroslav Sindler ▼
Biggest swing 62 ptsMatus recovered from 33%72 points · 5 games