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13 Oct · 20:00 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
JKJakub Komorowicz
🇨🇿Jakub Komorowicz
ELO 1405
3-1Final setsKomorowicz won
PKPiotr Kedzierski
🇨🇿Piotr Kedzierski
ELO 1395
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Komorowicz at 50%. The actual result was Jakub Komorowicz 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Jakub Komorowicz favoured — closing 1.75
Favourite won
Total 75.5
80 points played
Over
Set handicap
Jakub Komorowicz −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Jakub Komorowicz −1.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
4.2
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jakub Komorowicz is favoured to win, below means Piotr Kedzierski.

▲ Jakub Komorowiczpre 54% → final 89%
Piotr Kedzierski ▼
Biggest swing 56 ptsKomorowicz recovered from 40%72 points · 4 games