14 Oct · 08:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RB
🇨🇿Radek Benes
ELO 1597
FormLWWLW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Benes
LK
🇨🇿Lukas Kantor
ELO 1485
FormLLLLW
59%
41%
Fair odds · Benes
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 64% · 1.55· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+112
H2H7-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+112)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-4)