14 Oct · 07:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RB
🇨🇿Radek Benes
ELO 1597
FormLWWLW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Benes
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Kindl
ELO 1481
FormWWWLW
59%
41%
🌟Kindl goes over total as underdog 68% (92)
Fair odds · Benes
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 57% · 1.76· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~78 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
19%
3-0
18%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+116
H2H17-15
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+116)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (17-15)