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13 Oct · 21:10 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MCMiroslav Cyrus
🇨🇿Miroslav Cyrus
ELO 1354
3-2Final setsCyrus won
RJRoman Jonas
🇨🇿Roman Jonas
ELO 1415
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Jonas at 56%. The actual result was Miroslav Cyrus 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Roman Jonas favoured — closing 1.7
Upset
Total 76.5
103 points played
Over
Set handicap
Roman Jonas −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Roman Jonas −4.5 points
No cover
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.32
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.75
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Miroslav Cyrus is favoured to win, below means Roman Jonas.

▲ Miroslav Cyruspre 47% → final 0%
Roman Jonas ▼
Biggest swing 72 ptsJonas recovered from 28%72 points · 4 games