14 Oct · 08:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PC
🇨🇿Petr Chlumsky
ELO 1419
FormLLLLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Langer
AL
🇨🇿Ales Langer
ELO 1485
FormWLLWW
45%
55%
🔥 Underdog lean · Chlumsky🌟Chlumsky covers set handicap as underdog 67% (24)
Fair odds · Langer
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+66
H2H6-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+66)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)