14 Oct · 09:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RB
🇨🇿Radek Benes
ELO 1597
FormLWWLW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Benes
DJ
🇨🇿Dalibor Velky Jr
ELO 1483
FormWLLWL
59%
41%
Fair odds · Benes
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~78 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
19%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+114
H2H35-30
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+114)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (35-30)