14 Oct · 09:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
SW
🇨🇿Sylwester Wloszek
ELO 1533
FormLWLWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Wloszek
JC
🇨🇿Jakub Chojnacki
ELO 1491
FormWLWLL
54%
46%
Fair odds · Wloszek
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 64% · 1.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~80 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+42
H2H6-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.