14 Oct · 15:40 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DV
🇨🇿Daniel Vitasek
ELO 1543
FormWWWLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Vitasek
DP
🇨🇿Dominik Pawlik
ELO 1504
FormLWWWW
53%
47%
🔥 Underdog lean · Pawlik🌟Vitasek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 36% (86)
Fair odds · Vitasek
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 35% · 2.82· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~75 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+39
H2H2-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.