14 Oct · 12:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
BM
🇨🇿Bartlomiej Molka
ELO 1570
FormWWWWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Molka
SR
🇨🇿Szymon Radlo
ELO 1540
FormWWLWW
52%
48%
🌟Radlo goes over total as underdog 69% (13)
Fair odds · Molka
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 47% · 2.11· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~79 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+30
H2H53-54
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.