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14 Oct · 17:10 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
KBKarel Baros
🇨🇿Karel Baros
ELO 1527
3-2Final setsBaros won
TMTomas Molin
🇨🇿Tomas Molin
ELO 1584
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Molin at 56%. The actual result was Karel Baros 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Tomas Molin favoured — closing 1.55
Upset
Total 76.5
103 points played
Over
Set handicap
Tomas Molin −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Tomas Molin −1.5 points
No cover
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.34
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.65
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Karel Baros is favoured to win, below means Tomas Molin.

▲ Karel Barospre 40% → final 89%
Tomas Molin ▼
Biggest swing 70 ptsBaros recovered from 25%72 points · 5 games